Here we are in San Antonio, where the heat of summer has barely waved goodbye! As we settle into the cozy embrace of fall, we can’t help but wonder: when will we finally get that first freeze of the season? Traditionally, San Antonio can expect to see its first freeze by the last day of November, but this year, the signs are a bit murky.
With the ocean waters staying warm and those pesky arctic fronts either stalling or warming up before they reach our area, we might not be on track for our typical chilly welcome. National Weather Service Meteorologist Eric Platt has confirmed that while temperatures have seen a dip, it’s not quite enough to usher in freezing conditions just yet. “For San Antonio, we don’t have freezing temperatures in the forecast,” he shared. Sounds like we may need to keep those winter jackets tucked away just a little longer!
So, what’s going on with the weather? The current buzz is all about the possibility of a La Niña weather pattern. If that’s the case, expect milder winter temperatures and less rain. Platt noted that while we might not see freezing weather right away, those brisk arctic fronts should still pop by occasionally. The real dilemma is how often the warm breezes from the Gulf will nudge those icy winds away from us.
Looking ahead, it seems that Thursday is set to be the chilliest day yet, with temperatures dropping to around 43 degrees. Now, that certainly feels chilly, but it’s not quite enough for those icy conditions we anticipate at 32 degrees. Interestingly, the Texas Hill Country may experience a little sprinkle of freezing temps, particularly in low-lying valleys. So, while San Antonio may stay relatively warm, it’s a different story just a bit north!
Even though it’s gearing up to be a somewhat chilly week, it looks like San Antonio could be in for a delay on that much-anticipated first freeze. And if the predictions hold, we might actually see fewer freezing days throughout the winter. How strange is that for our typically unpredictable Texas winter?
Platt emphasizes, “When you tally up the data when winter is over, it’s leaning towards warmer and drier than normal.” But hold your horses! There’s still a chance for a few chillier days sprinkled throughout the season. The typical winter pattern might keep the storms moving north, limiting those frosty days. The million-dollar question is, “When will those cold blasts actually hit?”
As we look further into the crystal ball, things can become even trickier. As we reach mid to late February, the confidence in a sustained La Niña pattern begins to fade, which is interesting since that’s when San Antonio and neighboring towns often face their harshest winter weather. What do February and March have in store for us? That’s anyone’s guess!
So grab your scarves and cozy sweaters, San Antonio! Even if we miss that typical first freeze, winter sunshine and the occasional chill make for a delightful flip-flop of weather. Here’s hoping it can catch us by surprise! Stay cozy and keep an eye on that weather forecast—as we all know, Mother Nature loves to keep us on our toes.
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